FSOC Approves 2016 Annual Report

The Financial Stability Oversight Council (“FSOC”) approved unanimously its 2016 Annual Report containing recommendations on central counterparties (“CCPs”), cybersecurity and market structure. In open and executive sessions, the FSOC reviewed (i) updates on market developments, (ii) the Federal Reserve’s proposed rulemaking applying to certain insurance companies, and (iii) the annual reevaluation of the designation of non-bank financial companies.

The 2016 Annual Report offered the following recommendations:

  • Cybersecurity. Financial regulators should “strongly support” efforts to implement the Cybersecurity Act of 2015 in order to establish a “robust legal framework for sharing cyber-related information.” Regulators must maintain a “common risk-based approach to assess cybersecurity and resilience,” and develop “robust sector-wide plans” for responding to significant cybersecurity incidents.
  • Liquidity and Redemption Risks. Regulators should consider implementing the following measures:
    • robust liquidity risk management practices for mutual funds, particularly with regard to preparations for stressed conditions by funds that invest in less liquid assets;
    • clear regulatory guidelines that address limits on a mutual fund’s ability to hold assets with very limited liquidity in order to prevent holdings of potentially illiquid assets from interfering with a fund’s ability to make orderly redemptions;
    • enhanced reporting and disclosures by mutual funds of their liquidity profiles and liquidity risk management practices;
    • taking steps that would allow and facilitate mutual funds’ use of tools to allocate redemption costs more directly to investors who redeem shares;
    • additional public disclosure and analysis of the external sources of financing, such as lines of credit and interfund lending, as well as events that trigger the use of external financing; and
    • measures to mitigate liquidity and redemption risks that are applicable to collective investment funds and similar pooled investment vehicles offering daily redemptions.
  • Capital Liquidity and Resolution. Regulatory agencies should review the resolution plans of large, complex bank holding companies closely in order to promote resolvability under the U.S. Bankruptcy Code and ISDA’s 2015 Universal Resolution Stay Protocol.
  • Central Counterparties. The Federal Reserve, the CFTC and the SEC should continue to coordinate and examine ways to improve the supervision of all CCPs that are designated as systemically important financial market utilities.
  • Wholesale Funding Market Reforms. Regulators must monitor general collateral finance repo transactions and assess the risks that could be posed by cash management vehicles that are not money market funds.
  • Data Quality, Collection and Sharing. Regulators should (i) develop permanent data collection programs, (ii) adopt the legal entity identifier, where appropriate, and (iii) harmonize the reporting of derivatives data.
  • Financial Stability. Regulators should expand a recent Treasury Request for Information by examining the regulatory treatment of products that have “highly correlated underlying risk drivers.” In addition, they should utilize coordinated tools, such as “trading halts,” and enhance data and information sharing among member agencies.
  • Financial Innovation. Regulators should actively monitor and evaluate the risks posed by technological advances in practices and products, such as marketplace lending and distributed ledger systems, both of which “appear poised for substantial near-term growth.”

FSOC also noted that a federal court rescinded its designation of a non-bank financial company for Federal Reserve supervision and prudential standards. The government is appealing the court’s decision and stated:

[FSOC]’s authority to designate nonbank financial companies remains a critical tool to address potential threats to financial stability, and [FSOC] will continue to defend vigorously the nonbank designations process.

 

Lofchie Comment: While the FSOC Report provides good general background on the state of various types of financial institutions; e.g., broker-dealers, credit companies and banks, as well as an overview of regulatory developments, it seems to be at least as much a political document as an analytic one. Very little is said regarding the reasons why FSOC’s designation of an insurance company as “systemically important” was rejected by the court, or of the criticisms of the SEC’s proposed rules with respect to leverage at investment companies or even the reasons why the economic data regarding hedge funds is poor (Form PF is useless). Likewise, to the extent that risks seemingly have been created by regulatory policy, those risks are glossed over; e.g., discussions of clearing house risks are focused on claimed improvements, rather than questioning the limits of the concept. It is clear that FSOC is concerned with the risk of securities lending activities, but risks that seem far greater, such as the low funding of municipal pension plans, are given relatively short shrift. With respect to the pension plans, FSOC did note that the levels of underfunding are significantly greater than the official numbers because the plans are allowed to use extremely optimistic projections of their future revenues. FSOC made no attempt to further describe or quantify the extent of the underfunding or of the over-optimism. In short, it is not unreasonable to conclude that the political nature of the annual report is influenced by the FSOC’s political and structural makeup.

SEC Chair White Summarizes Equity Market Structure Developments

SEC Chair Mary Jo White summarized historical and recent developments in SEC equity market structure rulemakings.

Chair White emphasized that regulators must fully understand the evolving marketplace in light of technological advancements. She said that regulators must precisely identify the issues before making fundamental changes and fully assess the likely consequences of doing so. She highlighted a number of targeted initiatives aimed at improving market structure, including: (i) ensuring the operational integrity of critical market infrastructures; (ii) improving market transparency and disclosures; and (iii) constructing more effective markets for smaller companies.

Among other rulemaking developments, Chair White noted that she expects the SEC will “consider very soon” a proposal to provide customer-specific institutional order routing disclosures and targeted enhancements to existing order routing disclosures for retail customers.

Chair White delivered her remarks before the SEC Historical Society.

Lofchie Comment: It is not obvious that the problems smaller companies are facing today are primarily a result of our market structure. Two more obvious problems may be (i) the heavy burden of regulation that is generally associated with a company going public; and (ii) the particularly heavy regulation of investment research, which may make it too expensive (and lacking any profit opportunities) to publish research on small companies.

OFR Director Promotes Better Data Collection to Measure Credit Risk

Director of the Office of Financial Research Richard Berner discussed the ways in which credit risk affects the stability of the financial system. At a conference at New York University, he touched on current OFR measures for monitoring credit and other risks, examined the interplay between credit and other kinds of risk, and assessed some of the tools that policymakers might use to mitigate those risks.

Mr. Berner asserted that in order to improve the measuring, assessing and monitoring of risk, the quality, scope and accessibility of financial data must be enhanced. Although progress has been made, he said, risks and vulnerabilities that are “neither immediately evident nor easily monitored” remain.

Mr. Berner cautioned that periods of low volatility, credit spreads in cash markets, credit default swap spreads and low repo haircuts – all of which are interpreted traditionally to be signs of low financial market risk – can presage rising market vulnerabilities, since they offer incentives to investors and risk managers to increase leverage. He explained that the implications of this paradox suggest that the distribution of outcomes is asymmetrical, which means that the pricing of all securities with embedded options will be affected by volatility. This inherent asymmetry has an important effect on credit risks, since lending involves selling puts on the probability of default.

Mr. Berner concluded that in order to monitor activity across the financial system, the OFR must continue to improve the “toolkit” that it uses to assess the fundamental sources of instability in the financial system. It also must become more forward-looking and test the system’s resilience to a wide range of events and incentives. He maintained that stress testing “is one of the best tools for assessing potential sources of vulnerabilities,” but added that more granular data are needed to determine who is exposed to those vulnerabilities and by how much.

Lofchie Comment: One of the best books ever written about financial crises is Stabilizing an Unstable Economy, by Hyman Minsky (1986). The book enjoyed a resurgence of popularity in 2010 with a number of articles dating from that period maintaining that we were in a “Minsky Moment” (of the type predicted in the book). A number of Mr. Berner’s conclusions seem to echo Mr. Minsky’s theories, particularly the view that periods of low volatility can seduce investors into taking on too much leverage or other kinds of risk.

The Bank of England’s Weekly Balance Sheet, 1844-2006, Now Available

The Bank of England has just posted weekly historical data of its balance sheet from 1844-2006. The Bank Act of 1844 required the Bank to post a weekly statement, known as the Bank Return. The requirement began a new era in financial transparency — one that is still not yet fully achieved in many countries. The Bank Act had an influence on many subsequent central banks, within and outside of the British Empire. Many of them were organized in imitation of it and likewise required to issue a weekly financial statement.

The Bank Return is also important in itself. The Bank of England was in the 19th century and in the early 20th century the world’s most important financial institution because of the pound sterling’s role as the world’s reserve currency. Even after the pound ceded that role to the dollar, London remained the world’s biggest financial center. The high-frequency information that weekly data provide are especially useful for analyzing periods of financial panic. (There are also less complete daily data, not yet digitized, that offer even more detail.)

The data were digitized by Huaxiang Huang and Ryland Thomas. Thomas, who kindly informed me of the availability of the Bank Return, is also involved in a project to make other key long-term British historical data readily available: “Three centuries of macroeconomic data,” a revision to which is forthcoming.

Historical Financial Statistics has incorporated some of the data from “Three centuries of macroeconomic data.” Sometime in the summer, Historical Financial Statistics will release a series of spreadsheets showing weekly, monthly, or annual data for a number of central banks, in their original format (copyright permitting) and in a standardized format to permit cross-country comparisons. Among the data that will be included are weekly statements of the Bank of England, Bank of France, Reichsbank (pre-World War II German central bank), Indian Paper Currency Department and the Reserve Bank of India, and Federal Reserve System. Data on a number of other monetary authorities, including the Bank of Japan, Norges Bank, and possibly the State Bank of Russia, will be available at monthly frequency.

SEC Awards Millions to Whistleblower for Aiding Ongoing Investigation

The SEC awarded more than $3.5 million to a company employee whose “tip bolstered an ongoing investigation with additional evidence of wrongdoing that strengthened the SEC’s case.” The Order stated that “the Claimant’s information caused Enforcement staff to focus on [redacted] when staff might otherwise not have done so, and this evidentiary development strengthened the Commission’s case by meaningfully increasing Enforcement staff’s leverage during the settlement negotiations. As such, Claimant’s information significantly contributed to the successful enforcement of the Covered Action within the meaning of Rule 21F-4(c)(2).”

Lofchie Comment: This case may be the first in which a whistleblower award was granted to an employee who did not produce evidence that initiated a case, but rather evidence that furthered an ongoing investigation of which the employee was aware. For those who find the concept of whistleblower payments troubling, at least in the case of whistleblowers who do not first raise the issue within their own organization, this case should raise the level of discomfort. In effect, the SEC offers a bounty to employees to provide unfavorable information about their employer without resolving the matter internally.

To even the playing field, perhaps private litigants should be able to offer payoffs to government employees who come forward with evidence pointing to weaknesses in the government’s evidence. Why should government activities be conducted without the guards against improper behavior that apply to private activities?

OFR Offers Best-Practice Tips for Regulatory Data Collection

The Office of Financial Research (“OFR”) issued guidance to regulators for collecting comprehensive and high-quality data for financial stability analysis, market monitoring, and policymaking. The guidance covers (i) the preparation of data, (ii) data transmission processes, (iii) data quality and (iv) common pitfalls in regulatory data collection.

The guidance recommends the following practices for regulators:

  • define the business purpose for collecting data,
  • design a template in order to establish the standard for developing data collection,
  • develop clear and precise definitions, and
  • create specifications for the data collection process.

Lofchie Comment: Here are a few more recommendations to add to the OFR’s list: (i) consider the costs of collecting the information, (ii) determine whether the means of requesting information are standardized adequately to yield comparable data from different sources, (iii) determine whether the means of transmitting the information actually exist, (iv) ascertain whether there is a way to store the information, (v) confirm that a method is in place for assessing the success or failure of the information program (and whether it should be modified or abandoned), and (vi) consider whether the information already may be available from other sources, such as from other agencies. In other words, consider the practicalities when seeking to collect data. As an example of what not to do, please review the experience of Form PF.

Financial Industry Associations Recommend Adoption of Global and Preventative Cybersecurity Policy

ISDA, SIFMA, Asia SIFMA (“ASIFMA”) and the European Banking Association (“EBA”) (collectively, “the Associations”) outlined a set of principles that they deemed “essential” to the formation of effective cybersecurity, data and technology policies. The Associations submitted these principles to the Financial Stability Board and IOSCO for review.

The Associations identified “two crucial issues that must be recognized before effective policymaking can be established”: (i) cybersecurity, data protection and technological advancement are international issues that require global solutions, and (ii) cybersecurity threats, risks and technological advances shift faster than regulations and standards can respond.

The Associations asserted that the purpose of effective regulation is to ensure that enough people, processes and technologies are in place to manage risks. They concluded that effective prudential frameworks and policies must permit companies to conduct their own risk assessments and determine which kinds of technology are best at meeting their respective security needs.

Lofchie Comment: The Associations recognized that (i) the regulators tend to know less materially than the industry about cybersecurity, and (ii) industry participants have every incentive to improve their cybersecurity defenses. The philosophical question presented is whether the regulators can resist the temptation to adopt prescriptive rules. Such rules are more likely to impede the work that firms do than they are to be useful.

To find examples of overly prescriptive rules, one only has to review Dodd-Frank’s rules on risk management, which require completely unrelated types of risk to be reported to the same manager, even though doing so runs contrary to the operations of any rationally managed  business. The end result is that firms are burdened with two types of reporting lines: one for the real and reasonable world, and one that must meet prescriptive regulatory requirements.

SEC Commissioner Talks Disclosure in the Digital Age

Commissioner Kara M. Stein called on the SEC to create a “Digital Disclosure Task Force” – which would include investors, companies and technology experts – to “envision what disclosure should look like in the Digital Age.”

At the 48th Annual Rocky Mountain Securities Conference, the Commissioner asserted that the electronic data gathering and reporting (“EDGAR”) system, serving as the SEC’s central data repository, “has not changed much” since it was rolled out in 1995, and needs a redesign to “catch up to the new digital world.”

Commissioner Stein noted that as part of a second ongoing SEC initiative, the “Disclosure Effectiveness” project, a recent SEC Concept Release on Business and Financial Disclosures failed to ask important questions relating to: (i) corporate governance disclosures; and (ii) how to best measure corporate performance (i.e., whether non-GAAP measures present a true and fair view of company performance).

To achieve effective disclosure, Commissioner Stein recommended that regulators not only solicit written comments, but also conduct investor testing to “truly understand what investors and our markets need.” She also commented on sustainability disclosure to differentiate companies and to foster investor confidence, trust and employee loyalty.

Commissioner Stein argued that in providing information, disclosure must be digitalized for investors to “effortlessly and electronically get what they need, when they need it, nothing more and nothing less.” With the advent of structured data, machine readable data can facilitate more real-time or on-demand data availability for investors.

Lofchie Comment: Commissioner Stein’s suggestion that the SEC should attempt to find out what disclosures investors really want makes sense. Both the SEC and Congress should embrace it. Recent “social” disclosure requirements (e.g., conflict minerals, compensation ratios, and diversity and contributions to come) are political rather than financial in nature.

Commissioner Stein is correct that the best way to find out what investors want is to ask them. Accordingly, it would make sense to require issuers to ask their investors (in their proxy statements, perhaps) whether they actually desire such disclosure and at what cost. Perhaps investors in some companies/industries will want “social” disclosures of the sustainability type noted by Commissioner Stein. Others may not. The Commissioner’s suggestion that what investors want may change over time is also noteworthy. Today, investors may want (or not want) conflict mineral/compensation/diversity/contribution disclosures. Next year, investors may decide that they do not (or do) want them. Let the market decide.

SEC Approves Concept Release on Corporate Disclosure Requirements

At an open meeting, the SEC decided to issue a concept release for comments on modernizing certain business and financial disclosure requirements in Regulation S-K.

SEC Chair Mary Jo White asserted that the concept release (i) considers the history and purpose of disclosure requirements, (ii) establishes an accessible framework for achieving a better understanding of customers’ and investors’ experiences with disclosure requirements, and whether investors are receiving adequate information, and (iii) seeks broad input from all constituencies. Chair White stressed that the SEC’s work on disclosure effectiveness “obviously does not stop with this release.”

SEC Commissioner Kara M. Stein voted to support the concept release as a “step towards starting the dialogue on how to modernize and improve the [SEC’s] disclosure framework,” but argued that “it is only a tentative first step.” Commissioner Stein asserted that the Concept Release failed to address the following issues:

  • the “fundamentally different” views of investors in 2016 as compared to those of investors from over 30 years ago, when the main requirements of Regulation S-K were adopted originally;
  • the “antiquated” form-based system used by the SEC, and whether the Electronic Data Gathering Analysis and Retrieval system should be reimagined;
  • whether SEC rules should be changed to address abuses in the presentation of supplemental non-GAAP disclosures, which may mislead investors, and to address other corporate governance and transparency issues;
  • whether environmental, social and corporate governance measures should be required in company disclosures; and
  • whether the disclosure regime should incentivize registrants to provide quality information to the market before allowing them the “privilege” of scaled disclosure.

SEC Commissioner Michael S. Piwowar expressed support for the concept release, but also opined that the SEC “has still not done enough to provide fair, efficient and robust capital markets.” Additionally, he emphasized the “pivotal role” of “materiality” in Regulation S-K examination by the SEC.

“Materiality” plays a pivotal role in understanding the disclosure obligations under the federal securities laws. It is not sufficient that information might merely be useful. Nor is it sufficient that only some investors might find a bit of information to be important. Rather, as Justice Thurgood Marshall wrote for a unanimous Supreme Court in the seminal case of TSC Industries v. Northway [426 U.S. 438, 445 (1976)], “[t]he question of materiality, it is universally agreed, is an objective one, involving the significance of an omitted or misrepresented fact to a reasonable investor.” This is an objective legal standard, not a subjective political one. While certain shareholders may have their own particular pet interests, the reasonable investor standard prevents an individual investor from hijacking corporate resources to serve their own specific agenda.

Commissioner Piwowar urged regulators to keep in mind certain requirements in the Fixing America’s Surface Transportation Act, which address the concerns first raised by Justice Marshall, when they implement subsequent Regulation S-K reforms. Commissioner Piwowar noted that these requirements instruct the SEC to (i) examine how information can be disseminated to investors by using a company-by-company approach that avoids the use of boilerplate language or static requirements, and (ii) explore methods for discouraging repetition and the disclosure of immaterial information.

Lofchie Comment: The fundamental debate between Commissioners Stein and Piwowar concerns the SEC’s social disclosure requirements, which Commissioner Stein claims will effect a “modernized disclosure regime [that addresses such matters as] . . . diversity and inclusion.” Commissioner Stein believes that “[t]oday, investors make their decisions based on an array of information, which goes beyond mere profit and loss” – a situation that in her view contrasts sharply with that of the past, when such social-value information “may not have been material to an investor at all in 1982.” The opposing view to Commissioner Stein’s is this the requirement to provide such information is not coming from investors at all and is being used primarily to further a political agenda.

The most reasonable way to respond to Commissioner Stein’s question is to allow the investors in any particular company to answer it. Let the company ask regularly in proxy statements whether its shareholders want it to make such disclosures. Presumably, the investors will vote either to mandate such disclosures, if they believe that the market finds them desirable, or against such disclosures, if they believe them to be a waste of corporate resources. It would not be surprising if investors in 2016 proved to be more similar than dissimilar to investors in 1982. That said, if the intent of Commissioner Stein is to allow investors to express their true selves, then she should allow them to vote according to their wishes.

Soviet Monetary Statistics

A big omission in many databases of economic statistics for the 20th century is the communist countries, which at one time included more than a third of the world’s people. Their governments were secretive. They did not publish certain statistics and they fabricated others.

Historical research is going back and filling some of the gaps, or replacing bad data with better data. Starting a decade ago, the Central Bank of Russia began issuing a series of print monographs about money and banking in the Soviet period. Michael Alexeev of Indiana University, an expert on the Soviet and post-Soviet economy, recently made me aware that the series is now available online. It is in Russian, but readers interested in the subject whose knowledge of Russian is quite poor, like mine, can use Google Translate to understand the gist of the papers. I will eventually incorporate some of the data into Historical Financial Statistics.

Another central bank that has done much to make available material from its communist period is the Bulgarian National Bank, though the material is likewise not in English.