President Trump Claims Authority Over Independent Agencies

In a new Executive Order, President Trump asserted presidential oversight over all federal agencies, including independent agencies.

The EO states that “all executive power” is vested in the President under Article II of the US Constitution and directs agencies to submit draft regulations for White House review, with no exceptions for independent agencies other than the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy functions. The EO mandates that agencies consult with the White House on strategic plans and performance standards.

President Trump asserted that “so-called independent agencies” such as the FTC and SEC exercise “enormous power over the American people without Presidential oversight.” He further said that these agencies: (i) “issue rules and regulations that cost billions of dollars and implicate some of the most controversial policy matters, and they do so without the review of the democratically elected President” and (ii) “spend American tax dollars and set priorities without consulting the President, while setting their own performance standards.”

The EO requires the Office of Management and Budget to adjust independent agencies’ apportionments to ensure tax dollars are spent “wisely.”

Commentary by Steven Lofchie

It is hard to assess the practical significance of this EO; i.e., how much it could change behavior at the regulators. Historically (meaning before the Biden-Gensler era at the SEC and the Obama-Gensler era at the CFTC), the SEC and the CFTC acted in a fairly non-partisan manner, meaning that it was somewhat unusual to have rules or enforcement actions approved by the majority party of the Commissioners over the dissents of the minority party. (There were exceptions to this, such as the SEC’s approval of Reg NMS, over the dissent of the two Republican Commissioners, including and then Commissioner, expected soon-to-be Chair, Paul Atkins, but these were exceptions, not the ordinary course.)

During Mr. Gensler’s tenure at the SEC and the CFTC, unanimity was the exception, and party-line votes the ordinary course. If there is now a shift in the SEC’s priorities (to be consistent with the views of the Republican rather than the Democratic party), that shift is entirely consistent, from a political standpoint, with how the SEC and other “independent” agencies have acted for the past four years.

There is one power that the minority party will continue to have—the power to issue dissents. SEC Commissioners Peirce and Uyeda, and CFTC Commissioner (later Chair) Giancarlo wrote dissents that were meaningful and helped to keep the majority party honest. To that end, independent agencies might consider expanding the staffs that are delegated to each of the non-Chair Commissioners, so that the minority Commissioners have more resources at their disposal to dissent. An enhanced ability to issue public dissents might do more to strengthen the independence of the agency than does the continued pretense that the majority Commissioners operate “independently” of the President. 

Primary Sources

  1. The White House: Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Reins in Independent Agencies to Restore a Government that Answers to the American People
  2. The White House: Executive Order: Ensuring Accountability for All Agencies

New Book on Economic Bifurcation and Chaos

Professor William A. Barnett (CFS Director of Advances of Monetary and Financial Measurement) just published the book, Economic Bifurcation and Chaos, with co-author Ruoning Han. The span of research begins with Bill’s initial finding of chaos in economic data and follows with over 30 years of his research on bifurcation and chaos in economics with applications to central bank policy.

Nobel Laureate James J. Heckman notes that the book “is a guide to understanding the deep structural features of modern economics and how to account for them in policy analysis. This research imposes a new level of rigor on the field of macroeconomics that serves to make it more credible.”

Economic Bifurcation and Chaos is available in hardcover or e-book form (with the latter containing additional color graphics).
https://www.worldscientific.com/worldscibooks/10.1142/13852#t=aboutBook
or Amazon. To receive a 25% discount at World Scientific until March 31, 2025, quote code BUS25.

CFS Monetary Measures for December 2024

Today we release CFS monetary and financial measures for December 2024. CFS Divisia M4, which is the broadest and most important measure of money, grew by 3.4% in December 2024 on a year-over-year basis versus 3.5% in November.

For Monetary and Financial Data Release Report:
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm/Divisia_Dec24.pdf

For more information about the CFS Divisia indices and the data in Excel:
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm_data.php

Bloomberg terminal users can access our monetary and financial statistics by any of the four options:

1) ALLX DIVM
2) ECST T DIVMM4IY
3) ECST –> ‘Monetary Sector’ –> ‘Money Supply’ –> Change Source in top right to ‘Center for Financial Stability’
4) ECST S US MONEY SUPPLY –> From source list on left, select ‘Center for Financial Stability’