FRB Issues Final Rule to Modify for Capital Planning and Stress Testing Regulations

The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (“FRB”) issued a final rule to modify capital planning and stress testing regulations, and released instructions for the 2015 capital planning cycle.

The final rule adjusts the due date for bank holding companies (“BHCs”) with total consolidated assets of $50 billion or more to submit their capital plans and stress test results. For the 2015 capital plan cycle, such BHCs are required to submit capital plans on or before January 5, 2015, unchanged from prior years. For subsequent cycles, beginning in 2016, participating BHCs will be required to submit their capital plans and stress testing results to the Federal Reserve on or before April 5.

The final rule is largely identical to the proposed rule, with a few key adjustments made in response to public comments. In particular, the final rule adopts the existing limitation on a BHC’s ability to make capital distributions to the extent that the BHC’s actual capital issuances are less than the amount indicated in its capital plan.

See: FRB Final Amendments to Capital Plan and Stress Test Rules; FRB Summary Instructions and Guidance for 2015 Capital Planning and Stress Testing Cycle; FRB Press Release.

 

House Financial Services Committee Issues Staff Report Criticizing Dodd-Frank; Hearing to Follow

The House Committee on Financial Services published a report by the Republican staff on the Committee, titled “Failing to End ‘Too Big to Fail,'” which assesses the Dodd-Frank Act’s “too big to fail” provisions.

The report reviewed factors that led to the financial crisis in 2008 and the conduct of the government in alleviating the crisis, including the steps that it took to “bail out” various financial institutions. According to the report, financial experts, regulators and market participants now agree that Dodd-Frank failed to accomplish its goals, particularly the goal of eliminating “too big to fail.”

With regard to Title I, the report found that: (i) FSOC is inefficient and a source of systemic risk; (ii) the Office of Financial Research has failed to identify or mitigate risks to the financial system, and failed its first high-profile test; and (iii) living wills do not solve the problem of “too big to fail” and may not be effective if used during a financial crisis.

With regard to Title II, the report found that: (i) the “Orderly Liquidation Authority” makes bailouts more likely in the future; (ii) the means by which the “Orderly Liquidation Authority” would prevent bailouts have never been explained and their effectiveness is in serious doubt; and (iii) the “Single Point of Entry” potentially could institutionalize AIG-style bailouts and encourage recklessness.

On July 23, 2014, the House Financial Services Committee is scheduled to hold a hearing, titled “Assessing the Impact of the Dodd-Frank Act Four Years Later,” regarding the findings outlined in the Report. The following witnesses are scheduled to testify:

  • Barney Frank, former Chairman, House Committee on Financial Services;
  • Anthony J. Carfang, Partner, Treasury Strategies, Inc.;
  • Thomas C. Deas, Vice President and Treasurer, FMC Corporation, on behalf of the Coalition for Derivatives End Users;
  • Paul H. Kupiec, Resident Scholar, American Enterprise Institute; and
  • Dale K. Wilson, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer, First State Bank.

Lofchie Comment: The report is effectively divided into three parts. The first part asks whether “deregulation” of financial markets caused the financial crisis. The second part asks whether the U.S. government acted wisely in “bailing out” various financial institutions, or whether these institutions should have been left to fail. The third part asks whether particular institutions and procedures created by Dodd-Frank (the Financial Stability Oversight Council, the Office of Financial Research and the creation of living wills) have been successful to date.

The first section of the report provides a brief assessment of the causes of the financial crisis (which differs from the view of the Congress that adopted Dodd-Frank). In particular, the report disputes the notion that deregulation caused the crisis. Speaking as a financial regulatory lawyer, I think that the House report has a far stronger position than the adherents to the view that deregulation caused the crisis. During my entire career as a financial regulatory lawyer, the amount of financial regulation has steadily increased (which the report demonstrates). (A number of commenters and politicians have suggested that the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act was deregulatory in that it allowed the combined operation of banks and securities firms. In fact, banks and securities firms were affiliated long before Glass-Steagall was repealed, and the repeal was not necessary for their affiliation.)

Arguably, this first section of the report is also critical of the regulators for failing to anticipate the financial crisis. Perhaps a gentler reading of the report would be that the regulators should concede they were not successful in anticipating the prior financial crisis. (On one issue, I am going to defend the regulators: I don’t think it is fair to criticize the SEC for failure to regulate the capital of holding companies of broker-dealers properly before the financial crisis. The SEC’s authority in this regard was extremely limited; it was more akin to a right to observe and was not at all comparable to the authority that the Federal Reserve has and maintains over bank-holding companies).

The second section of the report essentially argues that the U.S. government should not have “bailed out” Bear Stearns or other financial institutions during the crisis.
Obviously, there is no way to prove that, in retrospect, one course of action would have been preferable to another. That said, my personal belief is that the bailout was the correct course of action. Had the government not stepped in to provide liquidity and support of various kinds, an extremely high number of financial institutions in the United States (and abroad) would (or perhaps would) have failed. The problem was not that some particular entity was “too big to fail.” It was that the value of assets (particularly real estate assets) crashed and no liquidity was available for financing. Had a few more financial institutions failed, asset values would have crashed further and liquidity may have stopped entirely – i.e., creating systemic shocks beyond even the dramatic ones we saw during the crisis.

The third section of the report provides forceful criticism by the Republican majority staff of the Financial Services Committee on FSOC, OFR and living wills. While I will not summarize these criticisms, my view has been that (i) these provisions are not well-founded, (ii) that these Dodd-Frank-created entities are not off to a good start, and (iii) their structure and purposes should be subject to reconsideration.

See: Report: Filing to End “Too Big to Fail”; Report: Dodd-Frank Does Not End Too Big to Fail; Hearing Announcement and Witness List.
See also: Financial Services Committee to Hear from Main Street Economy Voices at Dodd-Frank Anniversary Hearing; Rep. Jeb Hensarling Article, “Derailing the American Dream Since 2010: Thanks a lot, Dodd-Frank.”

 

OCC Proposes Schedule Shift and Adjustments to Regulatory Capital Projections

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (“OCC”) issued a proposed regulation that would adjust the timing of the annual stress testing cycle and clarify the method used to calculate regulatory capital in the stress tests.  The proposed regulation also provides that covered institutions will not have to calculate their regulatory capital requirements using the advanced approaches capital methodology in its stress testing projections until the stress testing cycle beginning on January 1, 2016.

Comments are due by July 24, 2014. 

See:  OCC Press Release; 79 FR 37231.

 

FDIC Issues Notice of Proposed Rulemaking Regarding Revised Risk-Based Deposit Insurance Assessment System

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”) approved a notice of proposed rulemaking (“NPR”) that revises the risk-based deposit insurance assessment system to reflect changes in the regulatory capital rules that will go into effect in 2015 and 2018. 

The NPR would: (i) revise the ratios and ratio thresholds relating to capital evaluations, (ii) revise the assessment base calculation for custodial banks to conform to the new asset risk weights using the standardized approach in the regulatory capital rules, and (iii) require all highly complex institutions to measure counterparty exposure for assessment purposes using the standardized approach in the regulatory capital rules.

The FDIC proposed two effective dates: January 1, 2014, for the revised ratios and ratio thresholds relating to capital evaluations, and January 1, 2018, for the proposed rules regarding revisions to the base calculation for custodial banks and the requirement for all highly complex institutions to measure counterparty exposure.

See: Notice of Proposed Rulemaking.

 

Basel Committee Issues Final Standard for Capital Treatment of Bank Exposures to Central Parties

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision released revised final standards for capital requirements for bank exposures to central counterparties (“CCPs”). Notable revisions of the framework include:

  • a new approach for determining the capital requirements for bank exposures to qualifying CCPs (“QCCPs”);
  • employing a standardized approach for counterparty credit risk (as opposed to the Current Exposure Method) to measure the hypothetical capital requirement of a CCP;
  • an explicit cap on the capital charges applied to bank exposures to QCCPs (i.e., those charges will not exceed the charges that would be otherwise applicable if the CCP were a non-qualifying CCP);
  • specification of the treatment for multilevel client structures; and
  • the inclusion of text relating to frequently asked questions posed to the Basel Committee in the course of its work on the revised policy framework.

See: Final Requirements; Interim Requirements; Press Release.

 

FRB, FDIC and OCC Adopt Final Rule to Strengthen Leverage Ratio Standards for Large Banks

The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (“FRB”), the FDIC and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (“OCC”) adopted a final rule to strengthen the leverage ratio standards for U.S. top-tier bank holding companies with more than $700 billion in consolidated total assets, or more than $10 trillion in assets under custody (“covered BHCs”), and their insured depository institution (“IDI”) subsidiaries.

Covered BHCs must maintain a leverage buffer greater than two percentage points above the minimum supplementary leverage ratio requirement of three percent, for a total of more than five percent, to avoid restrictions on capital distributions and discretionary bonus payments. IDI subsidiaries of covered BHCs must maintain a supplementary leverage ratio of at least six percent to be considered “well capitalized” under the agencies’ prompt corrective action framework. The final rule currently applies to eight large U.S. banking organizations that meet the size thresholds and their IDI subsidiaries.

The final rule will be effective on January 1, 2018.

The FRB, FDIC and OCC also issued a notice of proposed rulemaking that would modify the denominator calculation for the supplementary leverage ratio in a manner consistent with recent changes agreed to by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. The revisions in the proposed rulemaking would apply to all internationally active banking organizations, including those subject to the enhanced supplementary leverage ratio final rule. Comments on the proposed rulemaking will be due by June 13, 2014.

See: FRB Press Release; FDIC Press Release; Final Regulatory Capital Rule; Proposed Revisions to Supplementary Leverage Ratio.
See also: Chair Yellen’s Statement; Governor Tarullo’s Statement.
Related news: FRB, FDIC and OCC Issue Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on the Supplementary Leverage Ratio for G-SIBs (July 10, 2013); SIFMA, ABA and FSR Submit Comments to U.S. Federal Regulators on Proposed Leverage Ratio Rule (October 23, 2013).

 

Forecasting Bank Credit Ratings

We recently added Forecasting Bank Credit Ratings by Periklis Gogas, Theophilos Papadimitriou and Anna Agrapetidou from the Department of Economics, Democritus University of Thrace, Komotini, Greece to our policy library. The study was recently published in The Journal of Risk Finance (Volume 15, Issue 2, pp 195-209). Below is the abstract:

Purpose – This study aims to present an empirical model designed to forecast bank credit ratings using only quantitative and publicly available information from their financial statements. For this reason, the authors use the long-term ratings provided by Fitch in 2012. The sample consists of 92 US banks and publicly available information in annual frequency from their financial statements from 2008 to 2011.

Design/methodology/approach – First, in the effort to select the most informative regressors from a long list of financial variables and ratios, the authors use stepwise least squares and select several alternative sets of variables. Then, these sets of variables are used in an ordered probit regression setting to forecast the long-term credit ratings.

Findings – Under this scheme, the forecasting accuracy of the best model reaches 83.70 percent when nine explanatory variables are used.

Originality/value – The results indicate that bank credit ratings largely rely on historical data making them respond sluggishly and after any financial problems are already known to the public.

OCC Issues Interim Final Rule Making Basel III Technical and Conforming Amendments to Capital Requirements

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (“OCC”) issued an interim final rule that makes technical and conforming amendments to its capital regulations. 

The interim final rule, which is effective March 31, 2014, makes various amendments so that the OCC’s rules are consistent with the recently adopted Basel III Capital Framework by providing cross-references to new capital rules and, where necessary, deleting obsolete rules. The interim final rule also makes changes to subordinated debt rules to clarify the requirements subordinated debt must meet and the procedures required to issue and redeem subordinated debt.

The amendments apply to all banks, including national banks, federal savings association and community banks. Community banks must comply with the Basel III Capital Framework (and statutory limitations that cross-reference the regulatory capital rules) beginning January 1, 2015, while advanced approaches national banks and federal savings associations must comply with the Basel III Capital Framework beginning January 1, 2014.

See: OCC Press Release
Related news: FRB Issues Final Rule Changes in Order to Align with the Basel III Capital Framework (December 6, 2013); FDIC Publishes Basel III and Capital Requirement Rules (Fed. Reg.) (September 12, 2013); FDIC and OCC Adopt Rules Regarding the Implementation of Basel III Capital Requirements (July 10, 2013).

 

OCC, FRB, and FDIC Issue Guidance on Implementing Stress Tests of Banks with Between $10 and $50 billion in Total Consolidated Assets

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (“OCC”), Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (“FRB”) and FDIC (collectively, the “agencies”) issued a final supervisory guidance outlining principles for the implementation of annual company-run stress tests by banking organizations with total consolidated assets of more than $10 billion but less than $50 billion, pursuant to Section 165(i)(2) of the Dodd-Frank Act and the final rules issued thereunder. The guidance, which is similar to the proposed guidance issued by the agencies last year, discusses supervisory expectations for Dodd-Frank stress test practices and offers additional details about methodologies that should be employed by these banking organizations. The guidance also confirms that banking organizations with assets between $10 billion and $50 billion are not subject to certain requirements applicable only to bank holding companies with assets of at least $50 billion, including the FRB’s capital plan rule, the FRB’s annual Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review, supervisory stress tests for capital adequacy, or related data collections supporting the supervisory stress test.

See: Supervisory Guidance on Implementing Stress Tests.
Related news: Federal Reserve Board Releases Supervisory Scenarios and Instructions for 2014 Capital Planning and Stress Testing (November 4, 2013).

SEC Commissioner Gallagher Criticizes Imposition of Bank Capital Requirements on Broker-Dealers

SEC Commissioner Daniel M. Gallagher gave a speech before the Institute of International Bankers about regulatory capital requirements and, in particular, the differences between broker-dealer and bank capital requirements.

Commissioner Gallagher explained that one of the primary differences between bank and broker-dealer capital requirements is how risk is viewed and handled; bank capital requirements serve to “reduce risk and protect against failure,” while broker-dealer capital requirements seek to manage risk and the corresponding potential for failure by providing enough cushioning to ensure that a failed broker-dealer can liquidate in an orderly manner and transfer its assets to another broker-dealer. Given that capital requirements for these two types of institutions serve different purposes, he noted, they must be tailored accordingly.

Instead, Commissioner Gallagher argued, “bank regulators seem increasingly determined to seek a one-size-fits all regulatory construct for financial institutions.” As an example of this, he cited the Federal Reserve Board’s final rule requiring foreign banking organizations with U.S. non-branch assets of $50 billion or more to establish a U.S. intermediate holding company over their U.S. subsidiaries. He asserted that these new rules “force a foreign bank organization to impose a bank holding company into existence over its non-bank holdings, thus subjecting those entities’ broker-dealer subsidiaries to regulation by the FRB.”  He argued that the ultimate result of this would be a destructive reduction in the amount of credit available to finance the securities markets.

Lofchie Comment:  The gist of the Commissioner’s remarks is that imposing conservative bank capital requirements on top of presumably less conservative broker-dealer capital requirements will result in a material reduction of investment in broker-dealers, and thus a material reduction in the ability of broker-dealers to make capital available to keep markets liquid and finance the types of credit transactions that are essential for the smooth operation of the securities markets, particularly margin loans, repurchase transactions and securities lending. While the Commissioner is quite pessimistic as to effects of the imposition of bank capital rules on top of broker-dealer capital rules, he understates the causes for pessimism.

The Commissioner observes, I think correctly, that broker-dealer capital requirements are not meant to prevent risk taking and so are intended to allow for a material possibility of failure. That said, broker-dealer capital requirements are much more conservative than the Commissioner suggests.   In fact, in most respects, broker-dealer capital requirements are more restrictive than bank capital requirements because (i) they give no value to either unsecured credit exposure or loans that are secured by illiquid assets and (ii) the amount of haircuts that they require even on highly liquid assets are large (15% on U.S.-listed equities). Because banks are in the business of making unsecured loans or loans secured by illiquid collateral (e.g., mortgages), banks would not be deemed solvent if they were subject to the broker-dealer capital rules. (Banks are able to stay solvent, notwithstanding their “illiquid” capital by broker-dealer standards, because they have access to the Fed. Window, which serves to alleviate fears of a bank run.)

In short, when regulators impose bank capital regulations on top of broker-dealer capital regulations, they are taking what is already a very conservative system of capital regulation and making it even more restrictive, but at the same time are denying broker-dealers access to the Fed. Window that is available to banks. Think about the failures of Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers during the financial crisis. In neither case did the SEC-registered broker-dealers become insolvent, in the sense of their assets exceeding their liabilities, as a result of risky investments. Rather, their problems were illiquidity and, in the case of Lehman, insufficient controls around custody of client assets. Further, I am not aware that any bank acting as an agent in securities lending lost money as a result of its guaranteeing the performance of the securities borrower, since credit transactions in the securities markets are highly collateralized, unlike credit transactions in the banking markets. 

Ultimately, the effect of imposing bank capital requirements on top of broker-dealer capital requirements will have a significant impact on the financial markets.  These new  regulations will  (i) raise capital requirements on the holding companies for broker-dealers and (ii) establish punitive capital requirements on securities lending and borrowing.  As a result, it will become more difficult for investors to finance liquid securities positions through broker-dealers and to borrow securities to make short sales. Neither of these outcomes is a good result for the economy or for the price discovery process (a process in which short sellers are acknowledged to play an important role). The Commissioner’s concerns, understated as they may be, should receive more attention.

See:  Daniel Gallagher’s Speech.