The KU Economist reported on my recent Op Ed in the Kansas City Star.
Barnett Op Ed Outlines Why Fed Was Caught Unawares by Inflation (Summer, 2022)
You can read the Op Ed in the Kansas City Star here.
Category Archives: Money Supply
CFS Monetary Measures for April 2022
Today we release CFS monetary and financial measures for April 2022. CFS Divisia M4, which is the broadest and most important measure of money, grew by 3.4% in April 2022 on a year-over-year basis versus 4.6% in March.
For Monetary and Financial Data Release Report:
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm/Divisia_Apr22.pdf
For more information about the CFS Divisia indices and the data in Excel:
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm_data.php
Bloomberg terminal users can access our monetary and financial statistics by any of the four options:
1) ALLX DIVM
2) ECST T DIVMM4IY
3) ECST –> ‘Monetary Sector’ –> ‘Money Supply’ –> Change Source in top right to ‘Center for Financial Stability’
4) ECST S US MONEY SUPPLY –> From source list on left, select ‘Center for Financial Stability’
Barnett on “Why were the Fed’s inflation forecasts so wrong?”
Professor William A. Barnett – CFS director of Advances in Financial and Monetary Measurement (AMFM) – questions “Why were the Fed’s inflation forecasts so wrong?”
He then addresses limitations in the modeling approach at the Federal Reserve and – more importantly – offers ideas for the future.
To view Bill’s opinion piece…
https://www.kansascity.com/opinion/readers-opinion/guest-commentary/article260903877.html
CFS Monetary Measures for March 2022
Today we release CFS monetary and financial measures for March 2022. CFS Divisia M4, which is the broadest and most important measure of money, grew by 4.6% in March 2022 on a year-over-year basis versus 4.9% in February.
For Monetary and Financial Data Release Report:
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm/Divisia_Mar22.pdf
For more information about the CFS Divisia indices and the data in Excel:
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm_data.php
Bloomberg terminal users can access our monetary and financial statistics by any of the four options:
1) ALLX DIVM
2) ECST T DIVMM4IY
3) ECST –> ‘Monetary Sector’ –> ‘Money Supply’ –> Change Source in top right to ‘Center for Financial Stability’
4) ECST S US MONEY SUPPLY –> From source list on left, select ‘Center for Financial Stability’
Video: President Harker of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia…
Thanks to Patrick Harker (President, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia) for thoughtful remarks and engagement with CFS members and friends.
The full video starts at 3 minutes and is now available… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=99zqumz3Pyg
CFS Monetary Measures for February 2022
Today we release CFS monetary and financial measures for February 2022. CFS Divisia M4, which is the broadest and most important measure of money, grew by 5.0% in February 2022 on a year-over-year basis versus 5.1% in January.
For Monetary and Financial Data Release Report:
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm/Divisia_Feb22.pdf
For more information about the CFS Divisia indices and the data in Excel:
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm_data.php
Bloomberg terminal users can access our monetary and financial statistics by any of the four options:
1) ALLX DIVM
2) ECST T DIVMM4IY
3) ECST –> ‘Monetary Sector’ –> ‘Money Supply’ –> Change Source in top right to ‘Center for Financial Stability’
4) ECST S US MONEY SUPPLY –> From source list on left, select ‘Center for Financial Stability’
CFS Monetary Measures for January 2022
Today we release CFS monetary and financial measures for January 2022. CFS Divisia M4, which is the broadest and most important measure of money, grew by 5.6% in January 2022 on a year-over-year basis versus 5.0% in December.
For Monetary and Financial Data Release Report:
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm/Divisia_Jan22.pdf
For more information about the CFS Divisia indices and the data in Excel:
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm_data.php
Bloomberg terminal users can access our monetary and financial statistics by any of the four options:
1) ALLX DIVM
2) ECST T DIVMM4IY
3) ECST –> ‘Monetary Sector’ –> ‘Money Supply’ –> Change Source in top right to ‘Center for Financial Stability’
4) ECST S US MONEY SUPPLY –> From source list on left, select ‘Center for Financial Stability’
Money in The Wash Post
Congratulations to David J. Lynch at The Washington Post for being the first in a major news outlet, as far as we are aware, to ask the question “why does the Fed ignore the money supply”?
The piece covers much ground, references Bill Barnett’s work as CFS director of Advances in Monetary and Financial Measurement (AMFM), and quotes Steve Hanke, CFS special counsellor and Johns Hopkins professor.
Yet, misconceptions exist. Lynch frames monetarists versus “all but the monetarists” and “conservative critics” versus others. He is correct. Sadly, this is the narrative.
However, CFS Divisia monetary aggregates and liability measures vividly illustrate how Fed policy transmits through the financial system and into the real economy. That’s it. They have been exceedingly helpful at analytically and dispassionately identifying trades and how the economy responds to policy.
CFS monetary data and optimal uses are vehemently non-partisan.
We look forward to any comments you might have.
To view the full article in the Washington Post:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/02/06/federal-reserve-inflation-money-supply/
CFS Monetary Measures for December 2021
Today we release CFS monetary and financial measures for December 2021. CFS Divisia M4, which is the broadest and most important measure of money, grew by 5.2% in December 2021 on a year-over-year basis versus 5.4% in November.
For Monetary and Financial Data Release Report:
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm/Divisia_Dec21.pdf
For more information about the CFS Divisia indices and the data in Excel:
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm_data.php
Bloomberg terminal users can access our monetary and financial statistics by any of the four options:
1) ALLX DIVM
2) ECST T DIVMM4IY
3) ECST –> ‘Monetary Sector’ –> ‘Money Supply’ –> Change Source in top right to ‘Center for Financial Stability’
4) ECST S US MONEY SUPPLY –> From source list on left, select ‘Center for Financial Stability’
CFS Monetary Measures for November 2021
Today we release CFS monetary and financial measures for November 2021. CFS Divisia M4, which is the broadest and most important measure of money, grew by 5.4% in November 2021 on a year-over-year basis versus 5.1% in October.
For Monetary and Financial Data Release Report:
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm/Divisia_Nov21.pdf
For more information about the CFS Divisia indices and the data in Excel:
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm_data.php
Bloomberg terminal users can access our monetary and financial statistics by any of the four options:
1) ALLX DIVM
2) ECST T DIVMM4IY
3) ECST –> ‘Monetary Sector’ –> ‘Money Supply’ –> Change Source in top right to ‘Center for Financial Stability’
4) ECST S US MONEY SUPPLY –> From source list on left, select ‘Center for Financial Stability’