An Interview with William A. Barnett

CFS Director William A. Barnett is interviewed by Apostolos Serletis.  The conversation covers Bill’s life as a rocket scientist, work at the Federal Reserve Board, pioneer of monetary aggregation and complex dynamics, founding journals and societies, work at CFS, and more.

The interview is similar in construct to discussions with eminent economists in Bill’s book co-edited with Nobel Laureate Paul Samuelson – “Inside the Economist’s Mind.”

To view the full interview:
http://centerforfinancialstability.org/research/Barnett_Interview.pdf

I hope that you find the exchange about Bill and his remarkable career informative and enjoyable.

Bank of England conference in honor of William A. Barnett – Call for papers extended

We are delighted to announce a conference in honor of CFS Director William A. Barnett at the Bank of England on May 23 – 24, 2017.

The call for papers has been extended to March 15, 2017.

Liquidity plays a pivotal role in financial markets, the banking sector, and the economy as a whole. Since the 2008-09 financial crisis, it has become increasingly necessary to understand the creation, dissemination, measurement and management of liquidity.

This conference seeks and invites proposals to understand and assess the macroeconomic implications of liquidity, the liquidity creation process, and the impacts of liquidity on financial markets and economic activity. Theoretical, empirical, quantitative, qualitative, institutional, and historical perspectives that address current theory and policy questions are welcome.

For details to attend the conference or submit papers:
www.centerforfinancialstability.org/events/BoE_Barnett_conference_021417.pdf

Similarly, excellent peer reviewed papers will be considered for a special issue of the Journal of Financial Stability.

Today’s WSJ: ‘Focusing on Bank Size, Missing the Real Problem’…

Today, The Wall Street Journal published an op-ed titled “Focusing on Bank Size, Missing the Real Problem.”

CFS Board Member and former Treasury Under Secretary Randal Quarles and I note how:

The new president of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, Neel Kashkari, along with Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and Sherrod Brown believe that breaking up “too big to fail” institutions or turning them into regulated utilities is the only way the country can be confident that the 2008 bailouts won’t be repeated.

This proposal is misguided.

We offer three solutions:

– Facilitate orderly liquidation of failing or failed banks.
– Adopt a monetary policy rule to reduce the incentive for banks to take dangerous risks.
– Fully measure and evaluate the impact of Dodd-Frank before arbitrarily taking an ax to big banks and irreparably damaging the economy.

To view the full article:
http://www.wsj.com/articles/focusing-on-bank-size-missing-the-real-problem-1459466136

Pulling Away Punch Bowls

Ike Brannon – from Capital Policy Analytics – wrote a review for the Weekly Standard of the recent CFS publication Wall Street, the Federal Reserve and Stock Market Speculation: A Retrospective by Elmus Wicker.

To read the review, click here:http://www.weeklystandard.com/pulling-away-punch-bowls/article/2000251

To read the monograph, click here:http://centerforfinancialstability.org/books/WickerWallStreet20151202.pdf

Release – Wall Street, the Federal Reserve and Stock Market Speculation: A Retrospective

Today, the Center for Financial Stability (CFS) is delighted to release Wall Street, the Federal Reserve and Stock Market Speculation: A Retrospective — a new monograph written by Professor Elmus Wicker.

Professor Wicker’s ideas about the Federal Reserve and financial markets are of special interest now, as:

– The Federal Reserve is poised to raise its policy interest rate for the first time since the onset of the Great Recession; and

– Central banks around the world are on the verge of gaining new macroprudential powers.

Wall Street, the Federal Reserve and Stock Market Speculation: A Retrospective provides historical insights on the interplay between the stock market and the Federal Reserve as well as fodder for further study and debate.

We thank Jordan Wicker, Ike Brannon, and Kurt Schuler for help in bringing the manuscript to print.

For the full monograph in electronic format:
http://centerforfinancialstability.org/books/WickerWallStreet20151202.pdf

WSJ / Trump on Yuan and Hacking…

Today “The Wall Street Journal” published a letter “Trump’s Right on Hacking, Wrong on Yuan” by Kevin Brock (CFS senior fellow / cybersecurity strategy) and me on page A18.

Donald Trump’s “Ending China’s Currency Manipulation” (op-ed, Nov. 10) mistakenly conflates cyberbreaches and currency manipulation.

To view the full letter:
http://www.wsj.com/articles/trumps-right-on-hacking-wrong-on-yuan-1447612732

Sincerely yours,
Lawrence Goodman

President
Center for Financial Stability, Inc.
1120 Avenue of the Americas, 4th floor
New York, NY 10036
lgoodman@the-cfs.org

NYU Finance Professor Praises Derivatives

In a policy paper titled “In Defense of Derivatives: From Beer to the Financial Crisis,” New York University Clinical Professor of Finance Bruce Tuckman extolled the benefits of derivatives. “Policies that recognize the usefulness of derivatives and of holistic risk management and supervision,” he wrote, “will encourage businesses to use derivatives appropriately and, at the same time, reduce systemic risk.”

Professor Tuckman made the following arguments against several regulatory initiatives:

  • mandatory clearing may break apart bilateral portfolios that previously had comprised diversified combinations of liquid products (that now must be cleared) and illiquid products (that cannot be cleared);
  • imposing punitive margin requirements on uncleared derivatives might reduce derivatives volumes and risks, but also can increase nonderivative business risks; and
  • “required databases of derivatives trades and positions are unlikely to be useful in crisis prevention and management because they focus on a one-dimensional slice of firm and system-wide risks.”

He also recommended possible reforms that could reduce systemic risk without impairing the business uses of derivatives, including:

  • joint work by authorities and the industry to create common entity identifiers in order to improve firms’ and regulators’ abilities to manage holistic counterparty risk;
  • “a protocol to coordinate the liquidations of a failing firm’s most liquid derivatives and nonderivative claims”;
  • making the compression of over-the-counter derivatives positions a higher priority;
  • improving accounting norms in order to provide better holistic risk reporting, which would incorporate derivatives exposures; and
  • a narrowed safe harbor for derivatives to prevent the providers of illiquid leverage from being subsidized by their ability to circumvent the bankruptcy system.

Lofchie Comment: This excellent article should be read by anyone who is involved in financial regulation, whether at the political or regulatory level (or in the press).

Professor Tuckman is clear and to the point in his explanations as to (i) the benefits that derivatives provide (as well as their potential risks); (ii) the limited role that derivatives played in the financial crisis; and (iii) why a number of the measures taken by financial regulators to address systemic risk (e.g., mandatory central clearing) very likely did nothing or made the situation worse. (See recent article that included a statement by FDIC Vice Chair Thomas Hoenig, who is himself a proponent of mandatory central clearing, in which he effectively concluded that mandatory clearing was not effective in reducing systemic risk)..

If the economy is ever going to fully recover, then the people involved in its recovery must have a reasonable understanding of how financial products and markets work. Only on that basis is it possible to have a meaningful discussion about how to make the products and markets work better (or at least how not to undermine them). This article takes a significant step in that direction.

 

CFS Discussion on “America’s Bank” with Author Roger Lowenstein…

The Center for Financial Stability (CFS) thanks Roger Lowenstein for “America’s Bank: The Epic Struggle to Create the Federal Reserve.” “America’s Bank” is a gift for anyone interested in understanding the nuances and struggles behind the creation of the Federal Reserve.

Perhaps, of greatest importance, “America’s Bank” highlights lessons for today’s Fed stretching from governance to the size of the institution relative to the economy.

We are grateful to Roger Lowenstein for sitting down with CFS.  The following are excerpts from the conversation.

Best regards,
Lawrence Goodman

Lawrence Goodman
President
Center for Financial Stability, Inc.
1120 Avenue of the Americas, 4th floor
New York, NY  10036
lgoodman@the-cfs.org
1 212 626 2660

Sandor and CBOE Create Interbank Lending Exchange

We congratulate CFS Advisory Board Member, Dr. Richard Sandor on the creation of the American Financial Exchange (AFX) in partnership with Chicago’s CBOE Holding.  Richard is a source on unending financial wisdom for the CFS, given his interest in policy and role in creating some of the most innovative financial products over the last 40 years.  He is widely acknowledged as the “father of financial futures” and greenhouse gas derivatives.

Richard is now shifting his attention to a need for small and medium sized financial institutions to access short-term funding.  CFS Advances in Monetary and Financial Measurement data corroborates unique monetary challenges faced by regional and local financial institutions.

AFX is an electronic marketplace for small and mid-sized banks to lend and borrow short-term funds. It will be aimed at the 1,740 US Community and regional banks with between $500m and $125bn in assets.

For more information, please see related articles:

Sandor and CBOE team up to create interbank lending exchange Financial Times, September 10, 2015

Environmental Financial Products, LLC (EFP) and CBOE Holdings, Inc. (CBOE) Announce New Interbank Lending Exchange and Interest Rate Benchmark.

Video Part 1:
Smalls and Mediums: Richard Sandor Looks To Transform The Small and Mid-Tier Bank Sector – Part 1

Video Part 2:
Smalls and Mediums: Richard Sandor Looks To Transform The Small and Mid-Tier Bank Sector – Part 2

Five Things to Watch for as the Federal Reserve Makes its Rate Hike Decision

Reporter James Puzzanghera interviewed CFS President Lawrence Goodman for an article published in today’s Los Angeles Times.

In “Five things to watch for as the Federal Reserve makes its rate hike decision”, Mr. Puzzanghera discusses the potential outcomes of today’s decision by Central bank policymakers. At 11:00am Pacific Time (2:00pm Eastern Time), the Fed will announce if the time has come for an increase, nearly a decade after the last increase in the benchmark federal funds rate.

While some experts do not believe a rise in interest rates would be constructive, others argue removing the questions about when the Fed would raise the rate would do more for financial stability, particularly in the long-term, than holding steady. “It’s this deep uncertainty surrounding the conduct of monetary policy that is exacerbating swings in financial markets,” said Lawrence Goodman, a former Treasury official who is president of the Center for Financial Stability think tank.

To read the complete article please go to http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-federal-reserve-interest-rate-five-things-to-watch-20150917-story.html.