CFS Monetary Measures for February 2017

Today we release CFS monetary and financial measures for February 2017. CFS Divisia M4, which is the broadest and most important measure of money, grew by 4.1% in February 2017 on a year-over-year basis versus 4.8% in January.

For Monetary and Financial Data Release Report:

For more information about the CFS Divisia indices and the data in Excel:

Bloomberg terminal users can access our monetary and financial statistics by any of the four options:

3) {ECST} –> ‘Monetary Sector’ –> ‘Money Supply’ –> Change Source in top right to ‘Center for Financial Stability’
4) {ECST S US MONEY SUPPLY} –> From source list on left, select ‘Center for Financial Stability’

Acting Chair Giancarlo Asserts “New Direction Forward” for CFTC

CFTC Acting Chair J. Christopher Giancarlo called for the CFTC to “reinterpret its regulatory mission” by (i) fostering economic growth, (ii) enhancing U.S. financial markets, and (iii) “right-sizing its regulatory footprint.” Acting Chair Giancarlo delivered his remarks before the 42nd Annual International Futures Industry Conference, on the day after President Donald J. Trump announced his intention to nominate Mr. Giancarlo as CFTC Chair (see previous coverage).

In his speech, Mr. Giancarlo called for an end to the “overly prescriptive regulation of the American derivatives markets,” which he asserted are now “more fragmented, more concentrated, less liquid, and less supportive of economic growth and renewal than in the past.” Mr. Giancarlo noted that he is not opposed to Title VII of Dodd-Frank (in which, he maintained, “Congress got much right”), but rather with the CFTC’s implementation of the market reforms.

Acting Chair Giancarlo stated that the CFTC should foster economic growth by:

  • reducing regulatory burdens through initiatives like “Project KISS” (“Keep It Simple, Stupid”), designating his chief of staff as the CFTC Regulatory Reform Officer, and reviewing all CFTC rules in order to reduce regulatory burdens and costs for participants in markets under CFTC oversight;
  • becoming a “smarter regulator” by restructuring agency surveillance organizations and appointing a Chief Market Intelligence Officer who will report directly to the CFTC Chair; and
  • embracing financial technology (“fintech”) by adopting a “do-no-harm” approach and reviewing agency treatment of fintech innovation.

Acting Chair Giancarlo also asserted that the CFTC should enhance financial markets by:

  • “calibrating bank capital charges for economic growth” as a voting member of the Financial Stability Oversight Committee;
  • reforming the CFTC’s “flawed swaps trading implementation” with a “better regulatory framework for swaps trading” that allows market participants to select the manner of trade execution best suited to their needs, rather than having specific types “chosen for them by the federal government”; and
  • improving coordination with global regulators through measures while “fully embrac[ing] the Trump Administration’s Executive Order to advance American interests in international financial regulatory negotiations and meetings.”

Lastly, Mr. Giancarlo suggested that the CFTC should obtain a “right-size regulatory footprint” by:

  • “normaliz[ing] CFTC operations” after the “era of Dodd-Frank implementation” by decreasing regulatory burdens and attending to “longer range goals,” such as leveraging diversity;
  • “eschew[ing] empire building” at the CFTC by “resetting its focus on its core mission” and streamlining the work of various divisions; and
  • “run[ning] a tighter ship” in the wake of recent reductions in the agency budget and appropriations.

Acting Chair Giancarlo concluded:

“The time has come to reduce regulatory barriers to economic growth. The American people have elected President Trump to turn the tide of over-regulation. Financial market regulators, like the CFTC, must pursue their missions to foster open, transparent, competitive and financially sound markets in ways that best foster American prosperity.”

Trump Administration Budget Resets Priorities

The Office of Management and Budget (“OMB”) released the Trump Administration 2018 Budget Plan (“America First: A Budget Blueprint to Make America Great Again“). The Plan focuses on “reprioritiz[ing] Federal spending so that it advances the safety and security of the American people.”

The Budget Plan does not specify how much money would be allocated to independent agencies such as the SEC and the CFTC. With regard to the U.S. Treasury Department, the planned budget prioritizes (i) preserving the operations of the IRS that are intended to prevent fraud, (ii) reducing spending on “paper-based” reviews, (iii) strengthening cybersecurity, and (iv) eliminating funding for community development financial institutions. Overall, there are dramatic cuts in spending which would reduce the Federal workforce.

The Budget Plan also emphasizes “three significant steps” the Trump administration has already taken to eliminate “unnecessary and wasteful regulations,” including (i) the January 20, 2017 “Regulatory Freeze” memorandum (see previous coverage), (ii) the “Reducing Regulation and Controlling Regulatory Costs” Executive Order (see previous coverage) and (iii) the “Enforcing Regulatory Reform Agenda” Executive Order (see previous coverage).

Lofchie Comment: Taken as a whole, the budget reflects significant decision-making and policy choices, as opposed to incrementalism. It is a budget created by a business person who is deciding that certain priorities are important (and should get more money) and that other activities are just not working (and so should be eliminated, as opposed to growing at a rate slower than inflation).

While the budget moves massive amounts of planned government spending, it holds the total amount of government spending constant. Psychologically, this emphasizes the fact that making a budget is about choices; deciding where money is to be spent is of one piece with deciding where money should not be spent (money not being unlimited). This flatline in overall expenditure now puts the burden on opponents of the planned budget to be explicit as to their priorities: if they want to increase spending on one activity, then they must also declare where they wish to decrease spending. Now let the (thoughtful, high-minded, respectful) debate about spending priorities begin.

Trump Administration Endorses Congressional Resolutions to Nullify DOL Savings Arrangement Rules

The White House endorsed Congressional resolutions of disapproval that would nullify two Department of Labor (“DOL”) rules (“Savings Arrangements Established by States for Non-Governmental Employees” and “Savings Arrangements Established by Qualified State Political Subdivisions for Non-Governmental Employees“). The two DOL rules set forth requirements by which states could establish state payroll deduction savings programs for private-sector employees without causing the states or private-sector employers to establish “employee pension benefit plans” or “pension plans” under ERISA. The White House’s statement indicated that the DOL rules allowed a “new type of State-based retirement plan that would lack important Federal protections, and they would give a competitive advantage to these public plans.”

Lofchie Comment: In effect, the Department of Labor under the Obama administration permitted state governments to go into the business of providing financial services to non-governmental employees, but without being subject to the same requirements as would apply to private financial institutions providing financial services. It appears that the Trump administration will likely withdraw that permission.

This seems a positive “pro-regulatory” action by the Trump administration. There does not seem to be any policy reason why the government should provide services that had been heavily regulated when offered by private enterprise, but unregulated when offered by a governmental entity. Governmental entities are subject to conflicts of interest, too, and should be subject to the same duties of loyalty and care as private businesses. To put it differently, there is no reason to think that governmental entities require less oversight than private businesses.

President Trump to Nominate Giancarlo as CFTC Chair, Announces Other Key Appointments

President Trump announced his intent to nominate J. Christopher Giancarlo as CFTC Chair. Seven other upcoming nominations were also announced: James Donovan as Deputy Secretary of the Treasury; Eric D. Hargan as Deputy Secretary of Health and Human Services; Adam Lerrick as Deputy Secretary of the Treasury; Andrew K. Maloney as Deputy Under Secretary of the Treasury; David Malpass as Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs; Sigal Mandelker as Under Secretary of the Treasury for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence; and Brent James McIntosh as General Counsel for the Department of the Treasury.

House Members Ask Committee to Preserve Tax-Exempt Municipal Bonds

As Congress considers tax reform and infrastructure financing, a bipartisan group of more than 150 Representatives requested that the House Committee on Ways & Means recognize and preserve “the vital role of tax-exempt municipal bonds.”

In a letter addressed to Committee Chairman Kevin Brady and Ranking Member Richard Neal, the Representatives stated:

“Any changes under consideration to the tax-exempt status [of municipal bonds] that would increase the cost of financing for states and local governments should be provided very careful consideration. We believe the current tax-exempt status contributes to efficient economic growth that benefits all Americans.”

Comptroller of the Currency Discusses Regulation of FinTech

In a speech at the LendIt USA 2017 conference, Comptroller of the Currency Thomas J. Curry (i) outlined the function of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (“OCC”), (ii) urged financial industry innovators to develop strong compliance programs early on, (iii) described the recently established Office of Innovation as a resource to support banks and financial technology (“FinTech”) companies, and (iv) defended the OCC initiative to grant federal charters for FinTech companies involved in banking activities.

FRB Governor Powell Describes Challenges to Real Time Payment Systems and Blockchain Technology

Federal Reserve System Governor (“FRB”) Jerome Powell described the challenges and policy objectives behind (i) the creation of a real-time retail payment system, (ii) the use of distributed ledger technology for clearing and settlement services, and (iii) the issuance of digital currencies by central banks.

In an address before the Yale Law School Center for the Study of Corporate Law, Governor Powell criticized the sluggishness of the U.S. payment system. He stated: “our traditional bank-centric payments system, sometimes operating on decades-old infrastructure, has adjusted slowly to the evolving demands for greater speed and safety. Innovators have built new systems and services that ride on top of the old rails but with mixed results, and over time, our system has grown more fragmented.” Arguing that “it will take coordinated action to make fundamental and successful nationwide improvements,” Mr. Powell said that efficiency and safety were the FRB’s primary objectives regarding the development of a faster payment system utilizing real-time payments (see FRB Policy on Payment System Risk). Mr. Powell highlighted some of the work being done by the FRB Faster Payments Task Force, which recently completed reviews of 19 faster payment proposals.

On the use of DLT and blockchain technology, Mr. Powell noted recent developments and collaborations between banks and market infrastructures, including plans to use DLT by a few major U.S. clearing organizations. However, Mr. Powell observed that:

  • the financial industry has focused on the development of systems that require permission for access to ledgers, functions or information, rather than the open access system contemplated by Bitcoin;
  • firms are still trying to determine the business case for upgrading and streamlining payment, clearing, settlement, and other functions related to DLT;
  • technical issues – including issues of reliability, scalability, and security – remain unresolved;
  • governance and risk management will be “critical” to the success of DLT; and
  • the legal foundations supporting DLT, including jurisdictional issues, need more attention.

Mr. Powell also discussed the prospect of central banks issuing digital currencies. He cautioned that major technical and privacy challenges, as well as competition with private-sector products, might “stifle innovation over the long run.”

New Trucking Futures and Options Exchange to Launch

Risk Desk editor John R. Sodergreen interviewed former ICE eConfirm Chief Bruce Tupper and former CFTC attorney Peter Kavounas about the prospective launch of a trucking futures and options exchange. The new exchange, TransVix, is intended to serve the risk management needs of the trucking industry.

Mr. Tupper explained that the trucking market involves a limited number of pre-set routes, or “origin-destination” pairs, with seasonality data trends resembling those of the gas pipeline network and also similar in concept to the electricity market. He stated that the trucking market has “a perishable commodity, one you can’t really store and [one that] has so many potentially precipitous impacts” that are difficult to predict and hedge against. He said that the trucking industry experiences greater price volatility than the energy markets because “shippers here can move a lot of their fleet into a market that might be overpriced at the moment, and take advantage of those rates, then bring it back down.” Mr. Tupper also predicted that there “should be a very good spot market from the beginning” and said that TransVix eventually “will offer an 18-month curve to capture a year’s worth of seasonality.”

In addition, Mr. Tupper mentioned that TransVix intends to partner “with an established clearing operation to bring these contracts to market.”

SEC Acting Chair Piwowar and Commissioner Stein Face Off on Regulation Crowdfunding

The SEC Division of Economic and Risk Analysis and the NYU Salomon Center for the Study of Financial Institutions hosted a “dialogue” on Regulation Crowdfunding. The dialogue focused on three aspects of securities-based crowdfunding: the “economic rationale and legal framework; investor protection and capital formation; and the [related] empirical evidence and data.”

SEC Acting Chair Michael S. Piwowar stated that Regulation Crowdfunding “permits retail investors to be solicited to purchase unregistered securities of small private companies.” He asserted that this is a “fundamental alteration of nearly 80 years of U.S. securities law practice.” He also reported a determination by SEC staff:

“To date, 163 U.S. securities-based crowdfunding deals have been initiated, of which 33 have completed their fundraising. Over $10 million has been raised since the regulation went into effect, with most offerings still ongoing.”

Acting Chair Piwowar expressed concern that the final Regulation Crowdfunding requirements might be “too restrictive or too burdensome.” He urged the SEC to “consider whether any further steps should be taken to improve our crowdfunding regulations, including the use of exemptive authority.”

SEC Commissioner Kara M. Stein took a more skeptical view, and urged the SEC to provide “more thought and attention” to Regulation Crowdfunding. Commissioner Stein focused on the role of funding portals, and asked whether registered portals were “appropriately considering the companies and offers hosted on their platforms.” She also questioned whether the SEC should institute uniform standards for funding portals when vetting companies in order to protect investors and facilitate repeat investments.

Lofchie Comment: Commissioner Stein quite rightly raises questions about funding portals. Under the SEC’s crowdfunding rules, funding portals are subject to significant restrictions that effectively prevent them from making any money, and also subject them to significant responsibilities in order to prevent others from losing money. Given those limitations and responsibilities, the most likely sorts to take on the funding portal role might be saints and criminals. Given the way that the world tends to operate, it is not shocking that Commissioner Stein should discover more criminals than saints. If Congress and the SEC genuinely intend for crowdfunding to work, or for funding portals to play a true gatekeeping role, then they must afford those portals some means of making money.